COMPARE FIGHTERS
Fight Night
Saturday, December 5, 2026
· Desert Diamond Arena, Glendale, Arizona
Title Fight
Fighter A
David Benavidez
32-0-0
Super Middleweight
vs
Fighter B
Michal Cieslak
26-2-0
Light Heavyweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
High Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
David Benavidez
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Benavidez
Cieslak
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts David Benavidez to defeat Michal Cieslak with a 68% probability (high confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: p4p rating, title fight pedigree, and activity & recency.
🔑 Key Factors
P4P Rating
Benavidez
Benavidez Rank #9 (0.911) vs Cieslak Unranked
Title Fight Pedigree
Benavidez
Benavidez 7/7 title fights vs Cieslak 0/2 title fights
Activity & Recency
Benavidez
Benavidez (3 fights in 2 yrs) vs Cieslak (1 fights in 2 yrs)
Experience & Durability
Benavidez
Benavidez 32 fights vs Cieslak 28 fights; Win streaks: Benavidez 32, Cieslak 0
Physical Attributes
Cieslak
Cieslak +5cm height, Cieslak +8cm reach, Benavidez age advantage (28)
Win Rate & Record
Benavidez
Benavidez (100%) vs Cieslak (93%)
KO Power
Benavidez
Benavidez (84% KO rate) vs Cieslak (77% KO rate)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
Each axis runs from 0 at the centre to 100% at the rim. Hover a name to isolate a fighter, or a point for its value.